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When the over/under NFL win totals for 2021 were first posted, most bettors have a tendency to look straightaway at the better teams and their overs.

But smart players know that unders could be the way to go as well, especially with some of the top heavy divisions.

So here is a look at the top five best under total plays for the upcoming campaign. Here is what IllinoisGambler predict:

1 - Dallas Cowboys

In one of my other stories, I picked the Washington Football Team to win the NFC East at 10-7. If that is the case, then the Dallas over 9.5 total probably will not come to fruition.

Yes, the NFC (L)East is not the best division in football. But I think people are overrating the Cowboys this year, and underrating some of the other teams. I will take the under 9.5 at -115 with multiple books.

2 - Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota thought it was going to be the class of the NFC North with the departure of Aaron Rodgers. Oops. Rodgers is back in the fold, and the Vikings’ over 9.5 total looks pretty high to me.

Minnesota went 7-9 last year, so a one-win increase only gets the VIkings to 8-9: even two wins is 9-8, and still under the total. They also have the fifth toughest strength of schedule based on last year. I would jump on the under 9.5 here with a little more juice than 9 wins.

3 - New Orleans Saints

This could be a rebuilding season for the Saints, and their total of 8.5 means you have to think they will have a winning record to take the over (9-8).

That is a tough sell for me: I could see New Orleans regressing to 8-9 or 7-10 in the NFC South. The Saints have to play the AFC and NFC East, and there could be some tricky games in there.

4 - New York Jets

This is a tough one, especially if you see them at 5.5 or 6 on the over/under totals. But at 6.5, that seems like it is a tad too high for me. If the Jets are heading in the right direction, and win four more games than last season, that is still 6-11. If you can get the under 6.5, grab it.

5 - Detroit Lions

Detroit’s over/under total of 5 wins looks low, but the Lions have one of the hardest schedules in the NFL, especially out of the gate. WIth games against San Francisco (H), Green Bay (A), Baltimore (H), Chicago (A), and Minnesota (A) to start the season, and then a Week 7 trip to face the Rams, there is a decent possibility the Lions are 1-7 heading into November. It gets not easier the rest of the way, either: take the under 5.

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